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AI Impact on Gateway Cities

How AI Businesses are Driving Tenant Demand

Where Is AI Leasing Demand Concentrating?

The global AI sector has moved well beyond its Bay Area origins. New York City and London have joined San Francisco/Silicon Valley as the three most concentrated markets for AI and machine learning (AI/ML) companies, each home to more than 1,000 firms with at least ten employees. Nearly half of all private AI/ML companies among the world's top 25 markets now sit across just these three cities. 

This report examines how that concentration is showing up in real estate demand in the Bay Area, New York City and London and what this means for landlords, occupiers, and investors in each market. 

Key trends analyzed include: 

  • AI/ML company concentration and global market rankings
  • Office leasing trends, transaction types, and largest occupiers by market
  • Venture capital funding flows
  • Job posting growth as a forward-looking demand indicator
  • What AI tenants want: location, flexibility, and pricing considerations
  • Tailwinds and headwinds for commercial real estate 

Key Takeaways

The Bay Area Remains the Global Center of Gravity for AI 
With 3,666 AI/ML companies headquartered across the region and Bay Area firms capturing 81% of global AI venture capital funding in Q1 2026, the Bay Area continues to lead the global AI ecosystem. AI leasing activity remained strong across San Francisco, Silicon Valley, and San Mateo County in Q1 2026, with leasing volume in just one quarter already surpassing 60% of the total 2025 volume across the three markets combined. 

New York City Is Surging
AI leasing in Manhattan reached 1.03 million square feet in Q1 2026, already surpassing all of 2025, supported by dense enterprise demand and a deep talent pool that continues to attract applied AI firms. AI's share of technology-sector leasing climbed from 20.9% in 2024 to 55.9% in Q1 2026, signaling that AI is increasingly underpinning leasing activity within the sector. 

London Is Europe's AI Capital 
AI businesses accounted for 12% of Central London leasing volumes in Q1 2026, up from just 1% in prior years, with momentum continuing into Q2 through more deals, under offers and active requirements in the market. London raised $6.2 billion in AI/ML funding in Q1 2026 alone, more than all of 2025, and saw AI/ML job postings grow 125% in the past 12 months. 

AI Tenants Are Reshaping Office Demand 

Across all three markets, AI occupiers generally favor direct leases and in-office work cultures with employees on-site four to five days per week. Space preferences vary by company, however, with some prioritizing flexibility and value and others seeking out Class A space as a tool for attracting and retaining talent. That range of demand is a positive signal for urban office markets at multiple price points. 

 

Authors

Robert Sammons San Francisco Research
Robert Sammons

Senior Research Director, Americas Technology Lead
San Francisco, United States


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Anna Brehm.jpg
Anna Brehm

Senior Research Analyst
San Francisco, United States


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Reed Hatcher Senior Manager New York City Research
Reed Hatcher

Senior Research Manager
New York, United States


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Jared Lewis Phoenix Research Analyst (image)
Jared Lewis

Sr. Research Analyst
New York, United States


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Daryl Perry
Daryl Perry

Head of UK Research & Insight
London, United Kingdom


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Heena-Gadhavi
Heena Gadhavi

Partner, Head of London Offices Research
London, United Kingdom


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David C Smith (image)
David Smith

Head of Americas Insights, Global Research
Atlanta, United States


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Richard Persichetti

Vice President, Research
New York, United States


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